Entries For: November 2013
2013-11-28
New rules in Queensland?
Wait & see ...
Just remember, NEVER READ THE COMMENTS!
Updated : it passed!
http://www.parliament.qld.gov.au/documents/tableOffice/TabledPapers/2013/5413T4163.pdf
2013-11-20
Cargo Cult coaching?
Why do we do things the way we do?
http://scienceblogs.com/catdynamics/2013/08/15/cargo-cult-administration/
http://neurotheory.columbia.edu/~ken/cargo_cult.html
Interesting, it applies to a lot of fields (all of them?!) - People do things because they've seen them done, not necessarily becaise they understand the reasons why or how they work.
As a coach, it's important not just to "do" but also to understand why we do what we do. It's ok to copy/learn from other programs, disciplines and coaches, but ONLY if we know why and how - or at least, have some understanding of the method. Not everything in coaching is clear cut and often the "evidence base" is pretty flimsy, but we must strive towards greater understanding of what we do, why and how it works (or doesn't!).
Coaches are not scientists, we're engineers. We apply the best available science, mix in some gut feeling and experience where the science is lacking, and run with it to build bridges. We need to understand science much as an engineer does, we have to be able to speak the langauage and ask the right questions (see this : http://startingstrength.com/index.php/site/exercise_science_presentation_2013_part_i as an example of how to read and question ex phys papers). We're not scientists, but we have to think like them sometimes, and call them if they're making mistakes. It happens, a lot. A lot more than we'd like!
(I'm a big Feynman fan, I have a few of his books, the guy was a once in a lifetime genius)
2013-11-19
How accurate is hand timing?
On the weekend at the Vic track cup, I did some hand timing
At the Vic Track cup, I did some hand timing, it's interesting to compare to the electronic system - my average error was 0.04s, the worst was 0.13s (I was distracted for that one by people in front of the start line).
Touted around is that hand timing is no better than 0.1s, I say "rubbish", if you're concentrating and not having your line of sight blocked, you can be around 0.05s or better pretty consisantly. Here's the raw data, electronic timing rounded to hundredths.
Hand | Electronic | |
error | ||
12.48 | 12.39 | 0.1 |
11.44 | 11.40 | 0.04 |
11.63 | 11.60 | 0.03 |
11.15 | 11.09 | 0.06 |
11.96 | 11.90 | 0.06 |
12.35 | 12.34 | 0.01 |
11.47 | 11.50 | 0.03 |
13.76 | 13.71 | 0.05 |
11.93 | 11.90 | 0.03 |
13.12 | 13.08 | 0.04 |
13.05 | 13.01 | 0.04 |
12.35 | 12.31 | 0.04 |
12.40 | 12.37 | 0.03 |
11.54 | 11.50 | 0.04 |
10.77 | 10.77 | 0 |
11.26 | 11.22 | 0.04 |
11.63 | 11.61 | 0.02 |
11.24 | 11.22 | 0.02 |
10.87 | 10.88 | 0.01 |
10.91 | 10.92 | 0.01 |
11.37 | 11.39 | 0.02 |
12.00 | 12.02 | 0.02 |
11.42 | 11.41 | 0.01 |
11.40 | 11.35 | 0.05 |
10.94 | 10.81 | 0.13 |
2013-11-11
A little number crunching
Olympic flying 200's, vs Manchester world cup
Some data for your enjoyment :
2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2013 – manchester world cup |
10.166 | 10.177 | 9.815 | 9.713 | 9.799 |
10.243 | 10.214 | 9.857 | 9.952 | 9.871 |
10.277 | 10.230 | 10.064 | 9.987 | 9.936 |
10.287 | 10.264 | 10.098 | 10.072 | 9.944 |
10.343 | 10.271 | 10.123 | 10.088 | 9.945 |
10.370 | 10.381 | 10.199 | 10.123 | 9.947 |
10.459 | 10.441 | 10.272 | 10.144 | 9.957 |
10.520 | 10.446 | 10.314 | 10.155 | 9.964 |
10.526 | 10.454 | 10.318 | 10.201 | 9.976 |
10.530 | 10.462 | 10.337 | 10.202 | 10.015 |
10.540 | 10.515 | 10.346 | 10.226 | 10.046 |
10.556 | 10.565 | 10.362 | 10.247 | 10.068 |
10.595 | 10.597 | 10.373 | 10.311 | 10.106 |
10.603 | 10.646 | 10.391 | 10.323 | 10.111 |
10.649 | 10.673 | 10.470 | 10.350 | 10.112 |
10.745 | 10.758 | 10.497 | 10.604 | 10.115 |
fastest | ||||
10.166 | 10.177 | 9.815 | 9.713 | 9.799 |
mean | ||||
10.463 | 10.443 | 10.240 | 10.169 | 9.995 |
SD | ||||
0.164 | 0.177 | 0.200 | 0.197 | 0.093 |
fastest vs mean | ||||
0.297 | 0.266 | 0.425 | 0.456 | 0.196 |
So what is all this? this is the top 16 times from the Olympics in the era of indoor 250m "standard" velodromes for the flying 200 for men. From Sydney to London (yes, Athens was "outdoors", but it had a roof!), and finally the data from the Manchester world cup last week.
Here's the women, I've used the top 12 to be consistent with the Olympic qualifiers since Sydney :
2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2013 – manchester world cup |
11.262 | 11.291 | 10.963 | 10.724 | 10.874 |
11.439 | 11.364 | 11.106 | 10.805 | 10.900 |
11.494 | 11.364 | 11.140 | 11.020 | 11.019 |
11.512 | 11.380 | 11.167 | 11.027 | 11.065 |
11.526 | 11.400 | 11.222 | 11.080 | 11.103 |
11.545 | 11.430 | 11.365 | 11.109 | 11.161 |
11.548 | 11.456 | 11.372 | 11.203 | 11.183 |
11.649 | 11.597 | 11.400 | 11.234 | 11.211 |
11.650 | 11.622 | 11.462 | 11.241 | 11.261 |
11.792 | 11.646 | 11.533 | 11.319 | 11.266 |
11.803 | 11.655 | 11.544 | 11.322 | 11.309 |
12.194 | 12.457 | 12.134 | 11.347 | 11.345 |
fastest | ||||
11.262 | 11.291 | 10.963 | 10.724 | 10.874 |
mean | ||||
11.618 | 11.555 | 11.367 | 11.119 | 11.141 |
SD | ||||
0.234 | 0.311 | 0.302 | 0.201 | 0.153 |
fastest vs mean | ||||
0.356 | 0.264 | 0.404 | 0.395 | 0.267 |
I'm going to draw some graphs later, this is just for you to have a quick look at. I've hilighted the standard deviation for 2013 Manchester world cup for both the men and the women, it's ... very interesting ...
Also interesting is the SD for the Melbourne Worlds in 2012, which was even tighter in the top end than Manchester, but it was a world championship.
2013-11-10
On the mend and reflections on Manchester World Cup
This time last week I was lying on a bed at the Austin hospital doped to the eyeballs on morphine waiting for surgery to repair a hernia. Today I'm home, with a new belly button that looks like something out of an Alien movie (it will get better!) after spending the weekend doing what little I could to help at Hilton's sprint camp that we held at DISC. I'm pretty tired, but am well and trully on the mend. Jayne has been awesome, but I feel terrible (and you should see the looks I get!) when she loads up with rollers, backpack, bags etc and I saunter along with her, carrying nothing ... It won't last, in a few weeks I'll be carrying stuff again. Live it up, eh? heh ...
It's been a very interesting week in sprint cycling. At the track world cup in Manchester, the mens sprint qualification times were simply stunning. Manchester is not Moscow, it's not a track where times need to be asterisk'ed out, it's a "real" track. It's not summer there, it's coming into winter, so the conditions would not have been amazing for speed.
Have a look at this :
Place | Number | F200 | speed | 100 | 100-200 | |||
1 | 193 | FÖRSTEMANN | Robert | GER | 9.799 | 73.48 | 4.838 | 4.961 |
2 | 254 | DAWKINS | Edward | NZL | 9.871 | 72.94 | 4.905 | 4.966 |
3 | 293 | PHILLIP | Njisane | TRI | 9.936 | 72.46 | 4.924 | 5.012 |
4 | 106 | GLAETZER | Matthew | AUS | 9.944 | 72.41 | 4.911 | 5.033 |
5 | 222 | PERKINS | Shane | JAY | 9.945 | 72.40 | 4.919 | 5.026 |
6 | 169 | D'ALMEIDA | Michaël | FRA | 9.947 | 72.38 | 4.938 | 5.009 |
7 | 221 | LEWIS | Peter | JAY | 9.957 | 72.31 | 4.944 | 5.013 |
8 | 195 | NIEDERLAG | Max | GER | 9.964 | 72.26 | 4.905 | 5.059 |
9 | 276 | DMITRIEV | Denis | RUS | 9.976 | 72.17 | 4.944 | 5.032 |
10 | 179 | CRAMPTON | Matthew | GBR | 10.015 | 71.89 | 4.955 | 5.060 |
11 | 134 | NAKAGAWA | Seiichiro | CCT | 10.046 | 71.67 | 4.986 | 5.060 |
12 | 164 | GASCON | Juan | ESP | 10.068 | 71.51 | 4.987 | 5.081 |
13 | 306 | CANELON | Hersony | VEN | 10.106 | 71.24 | 5.003 | 5.103 |
14 | 288 | SAVITSKIY | Valentin | RVL | 10.111 | 71.21 | 5.027 | 5.084 |
15 | 153 | PTACNIK | Adam | CZE | 10.112 | 71.20 | 5.003 | 5.109 |
16 | 160 | LEVY | Maximilian | ERD | 10.115 | 71.18 | 5.034 | 5.081 |
17 | 315 | AWANG | Azizulhasni | YSD | 10.115 | 71.18 | 4.979 | 5.136 |
18 | 129 | BARRETTE | Hugo | CAN | 10.118 | 71.16 | 5.006 | 5.112 |
19 | 206 | ARCHIBALD | Matthew | HPS | 10.125 | 71.11 | 4.981 | 5.144 |
20 | 152 | KELEMEN | Pavel | CZE | 10.136 | 71.03 | 4.999 | 5.137 |
21 | 158 | BALZER | Erik | ERD | 10.137 | 71.03 | 4.994 | 5.143 |
22 | 258 | WEBSTER | Sam | NZL | 10.143 | 70.98 | 5.000 | 5.143 |
23 | 265 | ZIELINSKI | Damian | POL | 10.152 | 70.92 | 5.022 | 5.130 |
24 | 183 | KENNY | Jason | GBR | 10.154 | 70.91 | 5.029 | 5.125 |
25 | 104 | BULLEN | Mitchell | AUS | 10.160 | 70.87 | 5.012 | 5.148 |
26 | 281 | SHURSHIN | Nikita | RUS | 10.167 | 70.82 | 5.048 | 5.119 |
27 | 208 | MULLEN | Eoin | IRL | 10.199 | 70.60 | 5.068 | 5.131 |
28 | 207 | VELTHOOVEN | Simon | HPS | 10.210 | 70.52 | 5.086 | 5.124 |
29 | 248 | HOOGLAND | Jeffrey | NED | 10.234 | 70.35 | 5.060 | 5.174 |
30 | 142 | XU | Chao | CHN | 10.239 | 70.32 | 5.064 | 5.175 |
31 | 235 | NG | Josiah | MAS | 10.247 | 70.26 | 5.056 | 5.191 |
32 | 311 | OLIVA | Alexander | WAL | 10.270 | 70.11 | 5.072 | 5.198 |
33 | 133 | KAWABATA | Tomoyuki | CCT | 10.284 | 70.01 | 5.064 | 5.220 |
34 | 269 | ESTERHUIZEN | Bernard | RSA | 10.294 | 69.94 | 5.116 | 5.178 |
35 | 264 | SARNECKI | Rafal | POL | 10.300 | 69.90 | 5.088 | 5.212 |
36 | 204 | BRETAS | Sotirios | GRE | 10.390 | 69.30 | 5.163 | 5.227 |
37 | 163 | MORENO | Jose | ESP | 10.395 | 69.26 | 5.138 | 5.257 |
38 | 246 | BUCHLI | Matthijs | NED | 10.405 | 69.20 | 5.130 | 5.275 |
39 | 308 | PULGAR | Angel | VEN | 10.437 | 68.99 | 5.155 | 5.282 |
40 | 213 | CECI | Francesco | ITA | 10.548 | 68.26 | 5.200 | 5.348 |
41 | 173 | SIREAU | Kévin | FRA | 10.573 | 68.10 | 5.103 | 5.470 |
The top 27 riders rode faster than 10.2s flying 200's. To qualify in the top 16, you had to ride 10.115 and even then Azizul missed out. 9.9 didn't guarantee top 8! This is not the Olympics or the world champs, this is just a world cup. Jason Kenny, the 2012 Olympic champion, rode 10.154 and did not quailfy. Marty Nothstein, who won at Sydney in 2000, with a 10.166s (fastest qualification time) would not have qualified for this world cup. He wouldn't have made the cut.
I discussed this somewhat with John Beasley on the w'end (Malaysian track coach). He's got Azizul up to 10.115 and Josiah at 10.247 over the last few months. What's the huge change? It's big gears. The guys are so much stronger than they've been before and the obsession with small gears and high cadences is over. I've personally seen Josiah riding very low 10's flying 200's at DISC recently on training wheels with minimal tapering, and he's mid 30's, he's the strongest he's ever been and also the fastest he's ever been.
No-one is riding 90's anymore, they're all up in the high 100's or bigger. We know Forstemann rode 114" at Cottbus when he rode 9.7 there a few months ago (~148rpm average for the 200m, outdoors on concrete). This is a far, far cry from the "old" days of 160+rpm. Why is this? Is it a recent discovery? I suspect a lot of it is increased specialisation, modern sprinters aren't doing the road stuff they used to do, at least, not nearly as much. They're getting stronger in the gym, stronger on the bike and riding lower cadences where there's less overall contractions, so greater endurance. It's possible to hit 73km/h on smaller gears, it's certainly been done, but it's very very hard to hold the speed on small gears, you just run out of neural capacity, or "too much revs!". Put on a bigger gear, and as long as you're strong enough to get it going, you can go further at the same speed.
Very interesting indeed.
Will anyone break the world record, which was set at Moscow (9.572) at a normal track? They're getting pretty close now ... and not as a one-in-a-million freak, but dozens of riders look capable of it.
2013-11-07
Unexpected hurdle
hernia!
On Monday morning I went in to the Austin hospital to have am umbilical hernia repaired - it was all very sudden and unexpected and I'm on very light duties for the next six weeks, no lifting, no DISC motorcycling (G-forces not good for it). The good news is it was a routine thing, nothing drastic. Lots of opiates for me for a few weeks and gradual recovery. Back into things in late December.