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Big gears, big fears?
Has the world imploded?
Not everyone's a fan of the 7m rollout for J17's. I've gone on to discuss this in the past. We now have our first lot of in competition times from Vic titles to look at. So let's have a look. I'm going to just look at sprint, I am not interested in the pursuits!
This year :
Event 3: JW17 Time Trial
2 Laps 500m Final - STANDINGS
| 1. | 32 | Brook RAMSHAW (CAR) | 38.735 | |||
| 2. | 31 | Chloe BAGGS (BBN) | 39.023 | +0.28 | ||
| 3. | 33 | Brit JACKSON (BBN) | 39.145 | +0.41 | ||
| 4. | 35 | Jordyn HASSETT (BBN) | 40.033 | +1.29 | ||
| 5. | 37 | Emily DUNK (BWK) | 41.310 | +2.57 | ||
| 6. | 36 | Jamie GOODING (BBN) | 41.909 | +3.17 | ||
| 7. | 41 | Freya WICKENDEN (CAR) | 42.000 | +3.26 | ||
| 8. | 34 | Greta CURRAN (BWK) | 42.063 | +3.32 | ||
| 9. | 38 | Madison FITZGERALD (BBN) | 42.637 | +3.90 |
No new records. Reasonably close times.
Compare to last year
Courtney FIELD(CAR) 38.195
Emily APOLITO(BBN) 39.256 +1.06
Chloe BAGGS(BBN) 39.656 +1.46
Emma BILSTON(B-S) 40.629 +2.43
Zoe NICHOLSON(ART) 41.872 +3.67
Nicole CLARK(WNG) 44.980 +6.78
Rebecca THOMSON(LAV) 45.568 +7.37
Apart from the outlier (Courtney), they're pretty close. A little faster with the bigger gears, but there's too much variation in te size of the girls fields and the quality of them to make any judgements yet. There's a lot of depth (relatively) in JW17 this year.
And the F200 :
Event 15: JW17 Sprint Qualifying
Flying 200 Top 8 to Quarter Finals
| 1. | 31 | Chloe BAGGS (BBN) | 12.737 | |||
| 2. | 33 | Brit JACKSON (BBN) | 13.046 | +0.30 | ||
| 3. | 32 | Brook RAMSHAW (CAR) | 13.128 | +0.39 | ||
| 4. | 35 | Jordyn HASSETT (BBN) | 13.373 | +0.63 | ||
| 5. | 34 | Greta CURRAN (BWK) | 13.512 | +0.77 | ||
| 6. | 41 | Freya WICKENDEN (CAR) | 14.029 | +1.29 | ||
| 7. | 37 | Emily DUNK (BWK) | 14.193 | +1.45 | ||
| 8. | 36 | Jamie GOODING (BBN) | 14.195 | +1.45 |
CF last year :
Courtney FIELD(CAR) 12.466
Emily APOLITO(BBN) 13.308 +0.84
Zoe NICHOLSON (ART) 14.670 +2.20
Rebecca THOMSON(LAV) 15.109 +2.64
Here we see some bigger differences - again, if we ignore Courtney as an outlier, the top three girls rode significantly faster this year. For the girls this isn't a suprise in the F200, they can wind up the gear, rather than have to accelerate it from a standing start (and most of the girls are not very strong, I don't think many of them lift), so I'd expect to see bigger changes here. What we are seeing is greater density at the top end. The girls field in 2011-2012 was tiny though, so the sample size is too small to draw any conclusions from, except that we have more JW17's racing sprint this year and that's a really good thing, there's also no (that I have seen) dead bodies on the floor. The horror of allowing 14 and 15 year olds to rev a little lower has not killed anyone. If anything, it's leveling the playing field a little, the mashers can keep up with the hummingbirds. AMAZING!
Where do we have depth? The boys. This is where we don't tend to see outliers so much because the talent pool is much bigger.
This year :
Event 4: JM17 Time Trial
2 Laps 500m Final - STANDINGS
| 1. | 4 | Gary RAMSHAW (CAR) | 34.323 | |||
| 2. | 1 | Ryan SCHILT (BWK) | 34.592 | +0.26 | ||
| 3. | 2 | David KOROKNAI (CAR) | 34.852 | +0.52 | ||
| 4. | 7 | Stephen ELLUL (BBN) | 35.144 | +0.82 | ||
| 5. | 6 | Thomas MCFARLANE (LGA) | 35.699 | +1.37 | ||
| 6. | 5 | Conor ROWLEY (BBN) | 35.929 | +1.60 | ||
| 7. | 3 | Kurt SANTAGADA (BBN) | 36.556 | +2.23 | ||
| 8. | 13 | Kyle MUIR (BBN) | 36.626 | +2.30 | ||
| 9. | 11 | James TICKNER (CAR) | 36.915 | +2.59 | ||
| 10. | 8 | Caiden HULL (CAR) | 36.985 | +2.66 | ||
| 11. | 9 | Nicolas ABELS (BWK) | 37.483 | +3.16 | ||
| 12. | 12 | Tomarsh LOKI (WNG) | 37.853 | +3.53 | ||
| 13. | 14 | Ryan KILPATRICK (SHP) | 37.935 | +3.61 | ||
| 14. | 23 | Jarrod WILSON (BBN) | 38.223 | +3.90 | ||
| 15. | 16 | Hamish WEBBER (BBN) | 38.779 | +4.45 | ||
| 16. | 22 | Lachlan VAN DER VELDEN (CAR) | 38.970 | +4.64 | ||
| 17. | 21 | Sebastian PRESLEY (BBN) | 39.614 | +5.29 | ||
| 18. | 20 | Adam PAYKEL-SAMUEL (CAR) | 39.766 | +5.44 | ||
| 19. | 25 | Clancy LLOYD (LAV) | 39.847 | +5.52 | ||
| 20. | 15 | Jacob MUMFORD (BBN) | 39.910 | +5.58 | ||
| 21. | 19 | Indiana MICHEL (SHP) | 40.463 | +6.14 | ||
| 22. | 24 | Ian HERMAN (BWK) | 40.601 | +6.27 | ||
| 23. | 17 | Samuel BROWN (BWK) | 40.874 | +6.55 | ||
| 24. | 18 | Stephen DAMM (LAV) | 41.435 | +7.11 |
CF last year:
1 Jay CASTLES(SHP) 34.608
2 Mathew ROSS(CAR) 35.419
3 John COCHRANE(BBN) 35.484
4 James DANN(BBN) 35.600
5 Jack HICKEY(CAR) 35.775
6 Jerome BECHAZ(CAR) 36.075
7 Braeden DEAN(BGO) 36.142
8 Jordan STANNUS(CAR) 36.866
9 Angus LYONS(B-S) 37.349
10 Caiden HULL(CAR) 37.580
11 Thomas VERLEYS-DONK(CAR) 37.878
12 Pierce CONNOR(BBN) 38.381
13 Lucas HAMILTON(ART) 38.383
14 David KOROKNAI(CAR) 38.436
15 Jade MADDERN(CSL) 38.764
16 Angus FLOOD(BBN) 38.820
17 Jack WALK(WGL) 39.241
18 Steven CARROLL(PRS) 39.563
19 Nicolas ABELS(BWK) 39.679
20 Hamish HAYNES(SHP) 39.935
21 Ned EFE(CAR) 40.039
22 Tomarsh LOKI(WNG) 40.555
23 Michael STRINGER(BBN) 41.495
24 Jarrod WILSON(BBN) 42.294
25 Lex MUNOZ(CAR) 42.452
26 Stephen DAMM(LAV) 42.841
27 Jacob MUMFORD(BBN) 44.577
Quicker across the board. Not dramatically, but it's significant. No dead bodies.
In the F200, we're a little quicker, but interestlingly, a lot denser at the top end. I wonder if any of the kids can get into the 10's if we find any real outliers? Wouldn't that be amazing ...
Event 16: JM17 Sprint Qualifying
Flying 200 Top 8 to Quarter Finals
| 1. | 1 | Ryan SCHILT (BWK) | 11.543 | |||
| 2. | 2 | David KOROKNAI (CAR) | 11.627 | +0.08 | ||
| 3. | 4 | Gary RAMSHAW (CAR) | 11.651 | +0.10 | ||
| 4. | 7 | Stephen ELLUL (BBN) | 11.662 | +0.11 | ||
| 5. | 6 | Thomas MCFARLANE (LGA) | 11.785 | +0.24 | ||
| 6. | 9 | Nicolas ABELS (BWK) | 11.866 | +0.32 | ||
| 7. | 5 | Conor ROWLEY (BBN) | 12.019 | +0.47 | ||
| 8. | 13 | Kyle MUIR (BBN) | 12.152 | +0.60 | ||
| 9. | 11 | James TICKNER (CAR) | 12.176 | +0.63 | ||
| 10. | 14 | Ryan KILPATRICK (SHP) | 12.477 | +0.93 | ||
| 11. | 23 | Jarrod WILSON (BBN) | 12.480 | +0.93 | ||
| 12. | 16 | Hamish WEBBER (BBN) | 12.669 | +1.12 | ||
| 13. | 25 | Clancy LLOYD (LAV) | 13.066 | +1.52 | ||
| 14. | 22 | Lachlan VAN DER VELDEN (CAR) | 13.366 | +1.82 | ||
| 15. | 19 | Indiana MICHEL (SHP) | 13.410 | +1.86 |
Last year :
Jay CASTLES(SHP) 11.631
Jack HICKEY(CAR) 11.682
John COCHRANE(BBN) 11.733
James DANN(BBN) 11.780
Braeden DEAN(BGO) 11.809
Jerome BECHAZ(CAR) 12.154
Jordan STANNUS(CAR) 12.383
Thomas VERLEYS-DONK(CAR) 12.623
Lucas HAMILTON(ART) 12.659
Angus FLOOD(BBN) 12.791
Nicolas ABELS(BWK) 12.839
Hamish HAYNES(SHP) 13.038
Jade MADDERN(CSL) 13.546
Stephen ELLUL(BBN) 13.635
Jarrod WILSON(BBN) 14.136
Ian HERMAN(BWK) 15.915
Any conclusions to draw? Not yet, it's too early to tell and I have only done a very quick and cursory look at the times from two Vic titles and I haven't considered atmospheric conditions etc. We'll see what happens at the Aussies and also when this lot of J17's move up to J19's next year. Remember the whole aim is to make the J19 -> senior jump less of a killer, and that will take 3-4 years to show itself. So far, no dead bodies, no velodromes lined with corpses and we saw some really good, close racing on the weekend, in particular in the JW17's sprint and keirens.
